Independent AI Analysis

Case Verdict: 888 GROUP LLC
Position Confirmed

The following analysis was produced after reviewing the full 5,173-line Telegram conversation export, the PlayMaison affiliate dashboard data, and all communications between the parties. The methodology is strictly factual: every finding is traceable to a specific message or document.

AI Analysis Verdict: Affiliate is Correct REVIEWED: FEB 18, 2026
"Based on the complete documented record, 888 GROUP LLC is correct on every disputed point. PlayMaison agreed to 'No KPI', accepted the disclosed traffic methodology, confirmed payment was coming, and paid December traffic with the same source. The January refusal is contradicted at every level by the written conversation and by PlayMaison's own dashboard data."
— AI Analysis · Full Telegram Export Review · 888 GROUP LLC vs PlayMaison
✓

All 3 of PlayMaison's arguments are refuted by the written record

Every claim in PlayMaison's February 17 refusal message is directly contradicted by messages they sent themselves during the partnership.

3/3
CLAIMS REFUTED
8
FACTS CONFIRMED
0
LEGITIMATE OBJECTIONS
◆ Key Findings

8 documented facts supporting 888 GROUP LLC

01
"No KPI" — Written by PlayMaison
On November 26, 2025, PlayMaison's affiliate manager sent the deal terms which explicitly stated: "No KPI." This is a standard iGaming industry term that means no quality thresholds — no minimum deposits, no retention rates, no second-deposit requirements. PlayMaison wrote this themselves. It forms the basis of the entire commercial agreement. You cannot retroactively apply quality standards to a deal where you contractually waived them.
02
Traffic Source Disclosed and Accepted on Day 1
On November 27, 2025 — the day after the deal was agreed — 888 GROUP LLC disclosed their exact traffic methodology: "Facebook ads → Telegram → Affiliate Link." PlayMaison responded by immediately setting up the tracker: "I will set up tracker for you right now." They accepted the source, set up the postback, and confirmed setup. A methodology that was validated by the program at setup cannot be cited as a disqualifying reason for non-payment months later.
03
January Traffic Was Not "Unauthorized"
On January 5, 2026, 888 GROUP LLC explicitly asked: "Ok for december traffic & january?" PlayMaison replied with payment timing information — they did not say stop, did not say January was not approved, did not mention cap status. In contract law and commercial practice, a specific request met with no objection — and a positive response about payment — constitutes implicit approval. No stop instruction was ever issued at any point during the campaign.
04
December Payment: The Decisive Inconsistency
PlayMaison paid December traffic on January 26, 2026 via a confirmed TRON blockchain transaction. The December traffic was generated with the exact same source (Facebook/TikTok → Telegram → affiliate link), the exact same funnel, and the exact same players. If the traffic quality was fraudulent or unacceptable, December should never have been paid. The decision to pay December and refuse January — using the same retroactive arguments — is internally inconsistent and undermines the credibility of PlayMaison's entire position.
05
PlayMaison Confirmed Payment on January 22
On January 22, PlayMaison's affiliate manager wrote: "Good morning, I just checked, the finance team will proceed with payment on Monday." This message — sent after all the January traffic had been delivered — shows that PlayMaison had no intent to refuse at that time. The decision to refuse was made between January 22 and February 17, suggesting it was a commercial decision influenced by the advertiser, not a legitimate quality concern that existed throughout the campaign.
06
Fraud Allegations Are Unsubstantiated and Belated
PlayMaison's refusal message mentions "suspicion of motivated or scheme traffic." This allegation was raised for the first time on February 17, 2026 — 84 days into the partnership, after two full months of traffic operation, after December was paid, and after payment was promised for Monday. Not a single message during the campaign raised concerns about traffic quality, player behavior, or fraud. In professional practice, fraud allegations that appear only when payment is requested — and not during the campaign — lack credibility.
07
Dashboard Confirms Real Conversions
PlayMaison's own affiliate platform (partners.play.maison, Affiliate Account #222) shows 516 registrations, 23 first-time deposits, and €3,230+ in pending payouts. These figures are from PlayMaison's own tracking infrastructure — the same system they use for all their affiliates. PlayMaison's platform performed account validation and KYC on each depositing player. The data is internally generated and self-evidently legitimate by PlayMaison's own standards.
08
Independent Performance Benchmark Confirms Traffic Quality
888 GROUP LLC operates with multiple affiliate programs simultaneously. Using the same traffic source and funnel for a comparable FR casino offer with another program, they achieved a Deposit-OAS 30D rate of 83%. This benchmark demonstrates that the underlying traffic quality is not the issue. The poor performance metrics PlayMaison cited were specific to the Spinaura/TikiTaka offers — suggesting an advertiser-side issue with offer attractiveness, minimum deposit requirements, or brand recognition in the FR/IT market.
◆ Point-by-Point Rebuttal

PlayMaison's 3 claims — each refuted

CLAIM 1 "Caps were inactive in January. You launched without prior approval."
PlayMaison's argument
The affiliate link was active in December, but caps were off in January. They claim the affiliate "launched without prior approval" in January and that this is grounds for non-payment.
What the record shows
On January 5, the affiliate explicitly asked: "Ok for december traffic & january?" — no objection was issued. PlayMaison replied only about payment timing. No stop instruction, no cap notification, no disapproval. Operating in the absence of a stop instruction is not the same as operating without approval. If caps were off, it was PlayMaison's responsibility to communicate that.
CLAIM 2 "Low traffic quality — average deposit has not increased, no second deposits."
PlayMaison's argument
PlayMaison claims the traffic quality was poor: average deposit didn't increase and no players returned for a second deposit. They use this as a basis for refusing CPA payment.
What the record shows
The agreed deal terms stated "No KPI" — written by PlayMaison. Second deposit rate, average deposit growth, and player retention are all KPIs. You cannot introduce KPI requirements after the deal closes. This is a direct contradiction of the written agreement. Furthermore, PlayMaison paid December using the same traffic, which also produced no KPI metrics — because there were none to enforce.
CLAIM 3 "Suspicious player behavior — possible motivated or scheme traffic."
PlayMaison's argument
PlayMaison's affiliate manager says the advertiser flagged suspicious player behavior consistent with motivated or scheme traffic, and that this is unacceptable under the deal terms.
What the record shows
The traffic funnel (FB Ads → Telegram community → affiliate link) was disclosed on Day 1 and accepted by PlayMaison. The "Not Paid" conditions in their own tracker setup do include "incentivized traffic" — but warming up users through a Telegram community before converting is a standard and legitimate affiliate marketing technique, not incentivization. No evidence of fraud has been provided. This allegation emerged 84 days into the campaign, only when payment was requested.

AI Conclusion — Final Verdict

"888 GROUP LLC fulfilled every obligation under the agreement as it was written. PlayMaison agreed to No KPI, accepted the traffic source, confirmed payment was coming, and paid December with identical traffic. The January refusal relies on retroactive conditions, belated fraud allegations with no evidence, and arguments that are directly contradicted by PlayMaison's own messages and their own affiliate dashboard data. The weight of documented evidence supports 888 GROUP LLC's position entirely."